| Nearby
crude oil traded at the lowest level
since early June this week, but the inability
to close lower following bearish
inventory data on Wednesday resulted
in a rally to close out the week. Crude
oil has been tracking closely with
equity markets as economic confidence
and waxes and wanes. A Friday rally on the
S&P
500 seemed to say that the worst
of the news was priced in, after
news on the economic front started the week
in the horrible category on Tuesday.
The
Existing Home Sales report
showed a 27.2 percent annualized decline,
the worst in the history of the data series.
Weekly jobless claims and the second quarter
GDP revision later in the week, while not
showing any positive momentum, did
manage to best market expectations.
Crude oil was up 2.5 percent
on the week, while the S&P 500 index
was down nearly one percent. Both charts
showed outside higher reversals
on Friday, setting up some positive
technical momentum for next week.
Grains
reverted back to more closely
mirroring the financial markets
this week. A surprise one percentage point
improvement in the corn condition rating
on Monday combined with the bloodbath in
financial markets to send the corn
market sharply lower on Tuesday.
The washout seemed to be linked to significant
fund liquidation after the most
recent Commitments
of Traders data had showed funds
with a net long position of over
300,000 contracts.
Strong
export demand and the perception
that yields will fall below the
USDA forecast of 165 bushels per
acre brought the corn market
back to close down just ¼ cent on
the week. December corn closed the week
on a strong technical note, eclipsing the
August high and trading at the highest
level since January.
November
soybeans were up 22 cents for the
week as some dryness sneaks into areas of
the growing belt. Dryness is showing
up in parts of the eastern growing
belt, along with remaining well entrenched
in the Delta. Wheat had a relatively
quiet week, closing up 7 cents
in Minneapolis, down 5.25 cents in Kansas
City, and down 16.5 cents in Chicago. The
USDA attaché in Russia lowered
his production forecast to 41 mmt,
4 mmt below the official August USDA estimate.
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